We
all love to cut out the middleman. If it means we can save money, time
and get what we want and not what someone else thinks we want then its
all good. But is it?
When
I go to the supermarket these days if the self service aisle is open
I’ll use that rather than wait in the queue for someone else to serve me. That option though has consequences, when I choose that option I’m helping a company decide to employ
one person with the responsibility for 8 check outs instead of 4
separate employees for 4 separate check outs. Right now the supermarket
will say they are giving me a choice. In a few years to come, there will
be no choice. It will be self service for most of us and someone to
help the older shopper that can’t do it by themselves. Less jobs, more
profits.
Politicians
like to tell us jobs have been lost to China and India, and they have.
But the sort of jobs that are now going to China and India have been
going to the cheapest markets for decades. A lot of the jobs that are
being lost in the economy now aren’t manufacturing jobs. I don’t mind my
computer being made in China, the whole world needs jobs. Besides China
is probably what is keeping this world economy moving when the West has
right royally screwed its own economy.
Its
not the emergence of China and India that we need to be wary of. Nor is
it the deficits of the US or European countries. Its the collapse of
our economy through corporate and individual greed. We are responsible
for it too. Every time we cut out the middleman we make a job less
necessary.
The
jobs that are disappearing in our economy aren’t the manufacturing jobs
of old. For more than 30 years those jobs have been going to wherever
that is deemed to be cheapest at the time. They disappeared out of the
economy a long time ago, the manufacturing jobs that are staying here,
are either industries that are barely hanging on or have taken steps to
make something better than what China and India are offering.
Instead
the jobs that are disappearing in today's economy are service jobs that
used to require a local person to service you. Those are jobs that can’t
be done by someone in China or India. Yet those jobs are disappearing
faster than any other in today’s economy. Unless something is done about
it, we are all going to suffer. If the politicians don’t catch on, until
its too late, the economy of America and the economy of Europe is going
to collapse. Those of us lucky enough to have jobs will be left with the
bill of paying off the deficits that our politicians have run up and
left holding up whatever economy is left.
When
was the last time you used a travel agent to book your 2 week break? We
are being bombarded with adverts on tv and online with ways to book our
flight, hotel room and whatever else we want. Cheap flights are just a
click away. All the people that used to do those jobs are having their
jobs being obliterated not by developing countries but by technology.
That nerdy kid who used to get bullied at your school is getting his
revenge, he now works for a software company that is eliminating jobs
left and right. Whole employment categories, from secretaries to travel
agents, are starting to disappear.
You might think that the supermarket
pays poor wages to the check out person and that job isn’t a huge loss,
the person who lost their job doesn’t think so. Forget the supermarket
analogy for a moment, a lot of the service jobs out there that are going
the same way have middle class pay grades.
For
more than 30 years technology has reduced the number of jobs in
manufacturing. We have grown used to it. Now though technology is being
adopted by every kind of organization that employs people. It's
replacing workers in large corporations and small businesses,
established companies and start-ups. The most vulnerable workers are
doing repetitive tasks that programmers can write software for — an
accountant checking a list of numbers, an office manager filing forms,
human resource personnel reviewing job applicants for key words to help
fill a job. The software of the technology today is becoming ever more
sophisticated, workers who thought they were protected by a college
degree aren’t as safe as they thought.
Thanks
to technology, companies are once again reporting profits but the jobs
of those companies are only slowly coming back, and at lower pay grades than before the
recession.
Entrepreneurs
who used to be the great driver of new jobs in the economy can launch
businesses with fewer employees than ever before. There is less need for
administrative support and back-office jobs that handle accounting,
payroll and benefits. It's becoming a self-serve world. Instead of
relying on someone else in the workplace or our personal lives, we use
technology to do tasks ourselves.
Politicians
are distracted by the apparent threat from China or the immigrant.
Those politicians miss the point. The immigrant is an easy target but
immigrants pay taxes, they pay rent, they buy cars. They contribute to the
success of the country. Take 11 million people out of the economy what
happens to the economy? Big bad China provides goods at a cost that we
are willing to pay and in return keeps the world economy ticking along.
No politician is attempting to stop companies here from using technology
that allows them to operate more efficiently with fewer employees.
Bad
times are coming and we will reap what we sow. Technology is taking our
jobs and we are helping corporations by cutting out the middleman. Just
bought a toaster online? You helped make someone obsolete. It used to
be that you would go to a store and someone with knowledge of of what
you were buying would help you choose something that would work for your
needs. Now if there is someone at that section of the store at all they
will usually be young, on minimum wage and with minimum knowledge of
the product. Thats sad, because its that knowledge that could be the
difference maker in whether they have a job in a few years.
Politicians
either don’t realise it yet or they think its not going to get the
votes in the same way as blaming the immigrant or the developing world
for the disappearing jobs. If you are so good at your job are you really
going to lose your job to someone that doesn’t speak English? Yes you
might, thanks to someone in Silicon Valley you might lose it to a
machine, or software.
If I buy a dress for my wife without going to a store? I’ve just taken work from a saleswoman.
Back in Glasgow, where I am from, they are converting the 100 + year old subway system to run on driverless trains.
Technology
is enabling companies to do tasks that people used to do. Companies are
realizing they don't have to re-hire people if a machine can do it for
them, at least not as many. Maybe trains will be better without human
error but our economy is going to be better the more jobs it has in it.
Those of us lucky enough to have jobs will pay less taxes if more people
are in work. Technology is always going to eliminate jobs regardless. However we have a
choice in what jobs are eliminated, if we like human interaction in the
things that we do we can choose that until that choice is taken away
from us.
1 comment:
I think this is really interesting. I'm not sure I totally agree with all points but as we now have a service industry based economy it is a good point. There is also a wider point about the social implications of cutting out more and more social contact. For my part I'm hoping to shop more localy (even in supermarkets) and less online where it makes sense to. I think that also makes the experience more real, but as the high street starts to close (blockbuster and hmv both in administration) that gets harder and harder. Food for thought though.
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